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Assyriska vs Enkoping Prediction— Sweden - Ettan - Norra

Norra - 10 ·Tuesday, June 2, 2026, 17:30

Assyriska

PPG 0.25 · HOME

4 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY O1.5

Enkoping

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away Over 1.5

Model probability 68.3% vs bookmaker-implied 51.3% — a clear edge.

+33.2% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.4%0-13.6%0-24.9%0-34.4%0-4+5.7%1 1-02.2%1-15.9%1-27.9%1-37.1%1-4+9.2%2 2-01.7%2-14.7%2-26.3%2-35.7%2-4+7.4%3 3-00.9%3-12.5%3-23.4%3-33.1%3-4+4.0%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-11.5%4+-22.0%4+-31.8%4+-4+2.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 21.6% 43.5% 2.30 -30.2%

Draw 20.9% 27.8% 3.60 -14.9%

Away win 57.6% 39.2% 2.55 +46.9%

Over 2.5 65.4% 65.4% 1.53 +0.1%

Over 3.5 46.8% 42.6% 2.35 +10.0%

BTTS 63.6% 69.4% 1.44 -8.4%

Home O1.5 53.3% 54.1% 1.85 -1.4%

Away O1.5 68.3% 51.3% 1.95 +33.2%

League track record ↗

Based on 56 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 38%

ROI -1.2%

Bet Hit 63%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 3 63%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-2

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)2.7 BTTS prob63.6%

A 58% / xG 1.6-2.7 / O2.5 65% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 7.9%

#2 1–3 7.1%

#3 1–1 5.9%

#4 2–2 6.3%

#5 2–3 5.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Assyriska1.6

Enkoping2.7

COMBINED 4.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.4% · O3.5 PROB 46.8%

Form & verdict PPG

ASSYRISKA · PPG 0.25

ENKOPING · PPG 2.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity

66%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs Home POOR (0.25)

Win probability 1X2

Assyriska (H) 21.6%

ODDS 2.30 · IMPLIED 43.5% EV -30.2%

Draw 20.9%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV -14.9%

Enkoping (A) 57.6%

ODDS 2.55 · IMPLIED 39.2% EV +46.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Assyriska face Enkoping in Sweden - Ettan - Norra on Tuesday, June 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Assyriska a 22% chance, the draw 21% and Enkoping 58%, so Enkoping are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Assyriska and 2.7 for Enkoping (4.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Assyriska are averaging 0.25 points per game versus 2.00 for Enkoping. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +95.8%. This match finished 4-2.

Assyriska vs Enkoping Prediction— Sweden - Ettan - Norra

Match Preview & Prediction

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