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Rosengard vs Angelholm Prediction— Sweden - Ettan - Södra

Södra - 10 ·Tuesday, June 2, 2026, 17:00

Rosengard

PPG 1.00 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Angelholm

PPG 1.25 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 55.4% vs bookmaker-implied 63.7%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.3%0-19.1%0-25.7%0-32.4%0-4+1.0%1 1-010.0%1-112.5%1-27.8%1-33.3%1-4+1.3%2 2-06.8%2-18.5%2-25.3%2-32.2%2-4+0.9%3 3-03.1%3-13.9%3-22.4%3-31.0%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-01.4%4+-11.8%4+-21.1%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.1% 57.8% 1.73 -20.3%

Draw 25.5% 27.4% 3.65 -4.2%

Away win 28.3% 24.4% 4.10 +9.6%

Over 2.5 53.7% 60.6% 1.65 -11.4%

Over 3.5 32.2% 38.5% 2.60 -16.3%

BTTS 55.4% 63.7% 1.57 -13.0%

Home O1.5 46.9% 60.6% 1.65 -22.6%

Away O1.5 32.0% 35.7% 2.80 -10.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 50 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 66%

Score Hit 34%

ROI 10.8%

Bet Hit 71%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 32%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob55.4%

H 46% / xG 1.4-1.3 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.5%

#2 0–0 7.3%

#3 2–1 8.5%

#4 1–0 10.0%

#5 1–2✓ 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Rosengard1.4

Angelholm1.3

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.7% · O3.5 PROB 32.2%

Form & verdict PPG

ROSENGARD · PPG 1.00

ANGELHOLM · PPG 1.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away AVERAGE (1.25)

Win probability 1X2

Rosengard (H) 46.1%

ODDS 1.73 · IMPLIED 57.8% EV -20.3%

Draw 25.5%

ODDS 3.65 · IMPLIED 27.4% EV -4.2%

Angelholm (A) 28.3%

ODDS 4.10 · IMPLIED 24.4% EV +9.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Rosengard face Angelholm in Sweden - Ettan - Södra on Tuesday, June 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Rosengard a 46% chance, the draw 26% and Angelholm 28%, so Rosengard are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Rosengard and 1.3 for Angelholm (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Rosengard are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.25 for Angelholm. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +9.6%. This match finished 1-2.

Rosengard vs Angelholm Prediction— Sweden - Ettan - Södra

Match Preview & Prediction

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