Ponte Preta vs Botafogo SP Prediction & Tips

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Brazil - Serie B Regular Season - 11 Moisés Lucarelli· Campinas Monday, June 1, 2026 22:00

Ponte Preta PPG 0.80

0-0 HIT CS2

Botafogo SP PPG 0.80

Away· +20.1% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 28.4%

Odds: 2.74 EV: -13.3%

Draw 28.2%

Odds: 2.90 EV: -10.9%

Away 43.5%

Odds: 2.76 EV: +20.1%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 46.7% Odds: 2.35 +9.8%

Over 3.5 27.8% Odds: 4.33 +12.2%

BTTS 51.5% Odds: 1.91 -1.6%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✔

3rd 0-1 ✘

4th 0-2 ✘

5th 1-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Ponte Preta

0.88

Botafogo SP

1.31

Model SuggestionBTTS -1.6% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -1.6% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+20.1%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.80), Away POOR (0.80)