Today / Norway - 3. Division - Girone 5 / Ulfstind vs Finnsnes

Ulfstind vs Finnsnes Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 5

Regular Season - 8 ·Monday, May 25, 2026, 13:00

Ulfstind

PPG 1.00 · HOME

1 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O3.5

Finnsnes

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 3.5

Combined xG of 6.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.2%0-10.7%0-21.1%0-31.3%0-4+2.8%1 1-00.5%1-11.9%1-23.2%1-33.7%1-4+7.7%2 2-00.8%2-12.6%2-24.5%2-35.2%2-4+10.8%3 3-00.7%3-12.4%3-24.2%3-34.8%3-4+10.1%4+ 4+-01.0%4+-13.4%4+-25.8%4+-36.7%4+-4+13.9%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.1% — — —

Draw 21.1% — — —

Away win 43.8% — — —

Over 2.5 79.0% — — —

Over 3.5 87.0% — — —

BTTS 66.7% — — —

Home O1.5 76.8% — — —

Away O1.5 85.9% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 15 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5 80%

BTTS 73%

Score Hit 20%

ROI -1.1%

Bet Hit 71%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 3 46%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-3

xG (home)2.8 xG (away)3.5 BTTS prob66.7%

A 44% / xG 2.8-3.5 / O2.5 79% / BTTS 67%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–3 5.2%

#2 3–3 4.8%

#3 2–2 4.5%

#4 2–4 4.5%

#5 3–2 4.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Ulfstind2.8

Finnsnes3.5

COMBINED 6.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 79.0% · O3.5 PROB 87.0%

Form & verdict PPG

ULFSTIND · PPG 1.00

FINNSNES · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Ulfstind (H) 35.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Finnsnes (A) 43.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Ulfstind face Finnsnes in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 5 on Monday, May 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ulfstind a 35% chance, the draw 21% and Finnsnes 44%, so Finnsnes are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.8 for Ulfstind and 3.5 for Finnsnes (6.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-3. There is a 79% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 67% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ulfstind are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.00 for Finnsnes. This match finished 1-3.

Ulfstind vs Finnsnes Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 5

Match Preview & Prediction

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