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Floya vs Skedsmo Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 5

Regular Season - 9 ·Saturday, May 30, 2026, 13:00

Floya

PPG 2.50 · HOME

2 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME O1.5

Skedsmo

PPG 1.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.50) vs P(Home)=55.1%

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.9%0-12.7%0-21.9%0-30.9%0-4+0.4%1 1-04.9%1-16.9%1-24.8%1-32.3%1-4+1.1%2 2-06.2%2-18.8%2-26.1%2-32.9%2-4+1.4%3 3-05.3%3-17.4%3-25.2%3-32.4%3-4+1.2%4+ 4+-06.2%4+-18.7%4+-26.1%4+-32.9%4+-4+1.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 55.1% — — —

Draw 21.3% — — —

Away win 23.6% — — —

Over 2.5 65.8% — — —

Over 3.5 44.4% — — —

BTTS 63.4% — — —

Home O1.5 72.2% — — —

Away O1.5 40.9% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 15 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5 80%

BTTS 73%

Score Hit 20%

ROI -1.1%

Bet Hit 71%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 69%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-3

xG (home)2.5 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob63.4%

H 55% / xG 2.5-1.4 / O2.5 66% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 8.8%

#2 1–1 6.9%

#3 3–1 7.4%

#4 2–0 6.2%

#5 2–2 6.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Floya2.5

Skedsmo1.4

COMBINED 4.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.8% · O3.5 PROB 44.4%

Form & verdict PPG

FLOYA · PPG 2.50

SKEDSMO · PPG 1.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.50) vs P(Home)=55.1%

Win probability 1X2

Floya (H) 55.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Skedsmo (A) 23.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Floya face Skedsmo in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 5 on Saturday, May 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Floya a 55% chance, the draw 21% and Skedsmo 24%, so Floya are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.5 for Floya and 1.4 for Skedsmo (4.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Floya are averaging 2.50 points per game versus 1.50 for Skedsmo. This match finished 2-3.

Floya vs Skedsmo Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 5

Match Preview & Prediction

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