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Skjervoy vs Ulfstind Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 5

Regular Season - 9 ·Saturday, May 30, 2026, 12:00

Skjervoy

PPG 1.50 · HOME

2 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME O1.5

Ulfstind

PPG 0.25 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.50) vs P(Home)=54.9%

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.6%0-11.2%0-21.2%0-30.8%0-4+0.7%1 1-01.9%1-13.8%1-23.8%1-32.6%1-4+2.1%2 2-02.9%2-15.8%2-25.9%2-34.0%2-4+3.2%3 3-03.0%3-16.0%3-26.1%3-34.1%3-4+3.3%4+ 4+-04.9%4+-19.9%4+-210.0%4+-36.8%4+-4+5.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 54.9% — — —

Draw 21.1% — — —

Away win 24.0% — — —

Over 2.5 75.3% — — —

Over 3.5 54.6% — — —

BTTS 65.9% — — —

Home O1.5 81.3% — — —

Away O1.5 60.1% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 15 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5 80%

BTTS 73%

Score Hit 20%

ROI -1.1%

Bet Hit 71%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 2 70%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-0

xG (home)3.1 xG (away)2.0 BTTS prob65.9%

H 55% / xG 3.1-2.0 / O2.5 75% / BTTS 66%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–2 6.1%

#2 3–1 6.0%

#3 2–2 5.9%

#4 2–1 5.8%

#5 4–2 4.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Skjervoy3.1

Ulfstind2.0

COMBINED 5.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 75.3% · O3.5 PROB 54.6%

Form & verdict PPG

SKJERVOY · PPG 1.50

ULFSTIND · PPG 0.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.50) vs P(Home)=54.9%

Win probability 1X2

Skjervoy (H) 54.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Ulfstind (A) 24.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Skjervoy face Ulfstind in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 5 on Saturday, May 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Skjervoy a 55% chance, the draw 21% and Ulfstind 24%, so Skjervoy are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.1 for Skjervoy and 2.0 for Ulfstind (5.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-2. There is a 75% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 66% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Skjervoy are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 0.25 for Ulfstind. This match finished 2-0.

Skjervoy vs Ulfstind Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 5

Match Preview & Prediction

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