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Cuiaba vs CRB Prediction— Brazil - Serie B

Matchday 11 ·Sunday, May 31, 2026, 23:30

Cuiaba

PPG 0.80 · HOME

LAST 5

WWDWL

2 – 0

FULL TIME

CRB

PPG 1.60 · AWAY

LAST 5

WDWLW

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-022.0%0-118.3%0-27.6%0-32.1%0-4+0.5%1 1-015.0%1-112.5%1-25.2%1-31.4%1-4+0.4%2 2-05.1%2-14.3%2-21.8%2-30.5%2-4+0.1%3 3-01.2%3-11.0%3-20.4%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.2%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 28.3% 40.0% 2.50 -17.5%

Draw 35.1% 34.2% 2.92 +2.5%

Away win 36.6% 32.8% 3.05 +11.6%

Over 2.5 32.7% 39.2% 2.55 -16.6%

Over 3.5 18.6% 20.0% 5.00 -4.2%

BTTS 45.5% 48.8% 2.05 -6.7%

Home O1.5 15.0% 34.7% 2.88 -34.1%

Away O1.5 20.2% 29.9% 3.35 -19.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 175 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 53%

Score Hit 58%

ROI 22.2%

Bet Hit 60%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 53%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-0

xG (home)0.7 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob45.5%

D 35% / xG 0.7-0.8 / U2.5 33% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 22.0%

#2 0–1 18.3%

#3 1–1 12.5%

#4 1–0 15.0%

#5 0–2 7.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Cuiaba0.7

CRB0.8

COMBINED 1.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 32.7% · O3.5 PROB 18.6%

Form & verdict PPG

CUIABA · PPG 0.80

CRB · PPG 1.60

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity

Chance this pick lands

46%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.60) vs Home POOR (0.80)

Win probability 1X2

Cuiaba (H) 28.3%

ODDS 2.50 · IMPLIED 40.0% EV -17.5%

Draw 35.1%

ODDS 2.92 · IMPLIED 34.2% EV +2.5%

CRB (A) 36.6%

ODDS 3.05 · IMPLIED 32.8% EV +11.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Cuiaba face CRB in Brazil - Serie B on Sunday, May 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Cuiaba a 28% chance, the draw 35% and CRB 37%, so CRB are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for Cuiaba and 0.8 for CRB (1.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 33% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Cuiaba are averaging 0.80 points per game versus 1.60 for CRB. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +11.6%. This match finished 2-0.

Cuiaba vs CRB Prediction— Brazil - Serie B

Match Preview & Prediction

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