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Brazil - Serie A logo Brazil flag Brazil - Serie A Regular Season - 18 Governador Magalhães Pinto· Belo Horizonte Sunday, May 31, 2026 23:30
Cruzeiro logo Cruzeiro PPG 1.67
1-1 HIT MostLikelyScore
Fluminense logo Fluminense PPG 1.00
Away· +30.3% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 38.8%
Odds: 2.02 EV: -21.6%
Draw 25.0%
Odds: 3.30 EV: -10.5%
Away 36.2%
Odds: 3.60 EV: +30.3%
Model lean: BTTS
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 54.5% Odds: 2.00 +9.0%
Over 3.5 34.4% Odds: 3.55 +22.1%
BTTS 56.5% Odds: 1.80 +1.7%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 1-2
4th 0-0
5th 1-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Cruzeiro
1.41
Fluminense
1.40

Model Suggestion

BTTS +1.7% ROI TRACKS: BTTS
Tracked ROI market: BTTS.
Raw EV leader: Away(+30.3%)

League Track Record

Based on 63 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 49%
O2.5/Under 48%
BTTS/No 54%
Score Hit 49%
ROI 8.0%
Bet Hit 56% (27 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.67) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)

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