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Central Norte vs Chaco For Ever Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Regular Season - 16 ·Sunday, May 31, 2026, 19:30

Central Norte

PPG 1.00 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

Chaco For Ever

PPG 0.29 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-025.5%0-113.8%0-23.7%0-30.7%0-4+0.1%1 1-021.0%1-111.4%1-23.1%1-30.6%1-4+0.1%2 2-08.7%2-14.7%2-21.3%2-30.2%2-4+0.0%3 3-02.4%3-11.3%3-20.4%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-10.3%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 40.0% 44.4% 2.25 -10.0%

Draw 36.3% 36.4% 2.75 -0.2%

Away win 23.7% 29.0% 3.45 -10.9%

Over 2.5 25.9% 34.7% 2.88 -15.2%

Over 3.5 12.5% 15.4% 6.50 -11.3%

BTTS 44.4% 44.4% 2.25 -0.1%

Home O1.5 20.0% 35.1% 2.85 -25.8%

Away O1.5 10.3% 25.0% 4.00 -35.3%

League track record ↗

Based on 177 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 68%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 67%

ROI -1.5%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 32%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)0.5 BTTS prob44.4%

H 40% / xG 0.8-0.5 / U2.5 26% / NoBTTS 44%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 25.5%

#2 1–0 21.0%

#3 1–1✓ 11.4%

#4 0–1 13.8%

#5 2–0 8.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Central Norte0.8

Chaco For Ever0.5

COMBINED 1.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 25.9% · O3.5 PROB 12.5%

Form & verdict PPG

CENTRAL NORTE · PPG 1.00

CHACO FOR EVER · PPG 0.29

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.00) > Away POOR (0.29)

Win probability 1X2

Central Norte (H) 40.0%

ODDS 2.25 · IMPLIED 44.4% EV -10.0%

Draw 36.3%

ODDS 2.75 · IMPLIED 36.4% EV -0.2%

Chaco For Ever (A) 23.7%

ODDS 3.45 · IMPLIED 29.0% EV -10.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Central Norte face Chaco For Ever in Argentina - Primera Nacional on Sunday, May 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Central Norte a 40% chance, the draw 36% and Chaco For Ever 24%, so Central Norte are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Central Norte and 0.5 for Chaco For Ever (1.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 26% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Central Norte are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 0.29 for Chaco For Ever. This match finished 1-1.

Central Norte vs Chaco For Ever Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Match Preview & Prediction

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