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Ceara vs Operario PR Prediction— Brazil - Serie B

Regular Season - 11 ·Sunday, May 31, 2026, 19:00

Ceara

PPG 1.60 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

Operario PR

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-013.1%0-110.6%0-24.3%0-31.2%0-4+0.3%1 1-016.1%1-113.0%1-25.2%1-31.4%1-4+0.3%2 2-09.8%2-17.9%2-23.2%2-30.9%2-4+0.2%3 3-04.0%3-13.2%3-21.3%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.6%4+-11.3%4+-20.5%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.3% 51.0% 1.96 -3.4%

Draw 27.4% 30.8% 3.25 -6.6%

Away win 23.3% 25.3% 3.95 -4.8%

Over 2.5 46.2% 42.6% 2.35 +8.6%

Over 3.5 27.7% 22.2% 4.50 +14.8%

BTTS 47.2% 48.8% 2.05 -3.2%

Home O1.5 34.6% 44.4% 2.25 -22.1%

Away O1.5 19.4% 25.6% 3.90 -14.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 101 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 57%

ROI 15.6%

Bet Hit 59%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 33%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob47.2%

H 49% / xG 1.2-0.8 / U2.5 46% / NoBTTS 47%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 13.1%

#2 1–1 13.0%

#3 1–0 16.1%

#4 2–0 9.8%

#5 0–1 10.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Ceara1.2

Operario PR0.8

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.2% · O3.5 PROB 27.7%

Form & verdict PPG

CEARA · PPG 1.60

OPERARIO PR · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.60) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Ceara (H) 49.3%

ODDS 1.96 · IMPLIED 51.0% EV -3.4%

Draw 27.4%

ODDS 3.25 · IMPLIED 30.8% EV -6.6%

Operario PR (A) 23.3%

ODDS 3.95 · IMPLIED 25.3% EV -4.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Ceara face Operario PR in Brazil - Serie B on Sunday, May 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ceara a 49% chance, the draw 27% and Operario PR 23%, so Ceara are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Ceara and 0.8 for Operario PR (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ceara are averaging 1.60 points per game versus 1.00 for Operario PR. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +14.8%. This match finished 1-2.

Ceara vs Operario PR Prediction— Brazil - Serie B

Match Preview & Prediction

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