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Ceara vs Operario PR Prediction— Brazil - Serie B

Matchday 11 ·Sunday, May 31, 2026, 19:00

Ceara

PPG 1.60 · HOME

LAST 5

WLLWL

1 – 2

FULL TIME

Operario PR

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLLDD

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-013.1%0-110.6%0-24.3%0-31.2%0-4+0.3%1 1-016.1%1-113.0%1-25.2%1-31.4%1-4+0.3%2 2-09.8%2-17.9%2-23.2%2-30.9%2-4+0.2%3 3-04.0%3-13.2%3-21.3%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.6%4+-11.3%4+-20.5%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.3% 51.0% 1.96 -3.4%

Draw 27.4% 30.8% 3.25 -6.6%

Away win 23.3% 25.3% 3.95 -4.8%

Over 2.5 46.2% 42.6% 2.35 +8.6%

Over 3.5 27.7% 22.2% 4.50 +14.8%

BTTS 47.2% 48.8% 2.05 -3.2%

Home O1.5 34.6% 44.4% 2.25 -22.1%

Away O1.5 19.4% 25.6% 3.90 -14.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 175 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 53%

Score Hit 58%

ROI 22.2%

Bet Hit 60%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 33%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob47.2%

H 49% / xG 1.2-0.8 / U2.5 46% / NoBTTS 47%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 13.1%

#2 1–1 13.0%

#3 1–0 16.1%

#4 2–0 9.8%

#5 0–1 10.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Ceara1.2

Operario PR0.8

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.2% · O3.5 PROB 27.7%

Form & verdict PPG

CEARA · PPG 1.60

OPERARIO PR · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

Chance this pick lands

49%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.60) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Ceara (H) 49.3%

ODDS 1.96 · IMPLIED 51.0% EV -3.4%

Draw 27.4%

ODDS 3.25 · IMPLIED 30.8% EV -6.6%

Operario PR (A) 23.3%

ODDS 3.95 · IMPLIED 25.3% EV -4.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Ceara face Operario PR in Brazil - Serie B on Sunday, May 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ceara a 49% chance, the draw 27% and Operario PR 23%, so Ceara are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Ceara and 0.8 for Operario PR (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ceara are averaging 1.60 points per game versus 1.00 for Operario PR. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +14.8%. This match finished 1-2.

Ceara vs Operario PR Prediction— Brazil - Serie B

Match Preview & Prediction

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