← Back to picks 
Brazil - Serie A Sunday, May 31, 2026 19:00 
Palmeiras PPG 2.50 
Chapecoense PPG 0.29
Brazil - Serie A Sunday, May 31, 2026 19:00 Palmeiras PPG 2.501-0 HIT CS2
Chapecoense PPG 0.29Away· +54.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 54.9% Odds: 1.62 -11.1%
Over 3.5 36.2% Odds: 2.55 -7.7%
BTTS 47.2% Odds: 2.20 +3.8%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS NO → NO ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 2-0 ✘
2nd 1-0 ✔
3rd 3-0 ✘
4th 1-1 ✘
5th 2-1 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Palmeiras 2.22
Chapecoense 0.60
Model Suggestion
Home -22.0% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -22.0% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+54.0%) — probability too low to qualify.
Highest raw EV: Away (+54.0%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME 55%
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.50) vs P(Home)=63.9%