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Argentina - Primera Nacional
Regular Season - 16
Estadio Aurinegro· Santiago del Estero
Sunday, May 31, 2026
19:00
Atletico Mitre
PPG 1.67
1-3
MISS
Deportivo Moron
PPG 0.83
Over3.5· +29.3%
✓ SOLID - Strong home form
80% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
38.3%
Odds: 2.75
EV: +5.3%
Draw
34.3%
Odds: 2.55
EV: -12.5%
Away
27.5%
Odds: 2.90
EV: -12.2%
Result: Away ✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
34.0%
Odds: 3.35
+13.9%
Over 3.5
18.6%
Odds: 8.00
+29.3%
BTTS
46.4%
Odds: 2.40
+11.4%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘
BTTS NO → YES ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st
0-0
✘
2nd
1-1
✘
3rd
1-0
✘
4th
0-1
✘
5th
2-0
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Atletico Mitre
0.98
Deportivo Moron
0.87
Model Suggestion
No Bet
NO VALUE BET
Model lean:
No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.
League Track Record
↗
Based on 99 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc
42%
O2.5/Under
76%
BTTS/No
66%
Score Hit
74%
ROI
0.3%
Bet Hit
47%
(17 bets)
Verdict & Form
✓ SOLID - Strong home form
80%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME
Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.67) vs P(Home)=38.3%