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Argentina - Primera Nacional logo Argentina flag Argentina - Primera Nacional Regular Season - 16 Estadio Aurinegro· Santiago del Estero Sunday, May 31, 2026 19:00
Atletico Mitre logo Atletico Mitre PPG 1.67
1-3 MISS
Deportivo Moron logo Deportivo Moron PPG 0.83
Over3.5· +29.3% ✓ SOLID - Strong home form
80% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 38.3%
Odds: 2.75 EV: +5.3%
Draw 34.3%
Odds: 2.55 EV: -12.5%
Away 27.5%
Odds: 2.90 EV: -12.2%
Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 34.0% Odds: 3.35 +13.9%
Over 3.5 18.6% Odds: 8.00 +29.3%
BTTS 46.4% Odds: 2.40 +11.4%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-0
2nd 1-1
3rd 1-0
4th 0-1
5th 2-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Atletico Mitre
0.98
Deportivo Moron
0.87

Model Suggestion

No Bet NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

League Track Record

Based on 99 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 42%
O2.5/Under 76%
BTTS/No 66%
Score Hit 74%
ROI 0.3%
Bet Hit 47% (17 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Strong home form
80%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.67) vs P(Home)=38.3%

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