Today / USA - USL Championship / Sporting JAX vs Brooklyn FC

Sporting JAX vs Brooklyn FC Prediction— USA - USL Championship

Group Stage ·Sunday, May 31, 2026, 18:00

Sporting JAX

PPG 0.25 · HOME

2 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Brooklyn FC

PPG 0.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.2 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 64.1% vs bookmaker-implied 56.5% — a clear edge.

+13.5% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.1%0-16.0%0-24.4%0-32.2%0-4+1.1%1 1-07.1%1-110.4%1-27.7%1-33.8%1-4+1.9%2 2-06.1%2-18.9%2-26.6%2-33.2%2-4+1.7%3 3-03.5%3-15.1%3-23.8%3-31.9%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-02.2%4+-13.3%4+-22.4%4+-31.2%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 43.5% 40.0% 2.50 +8.8%

Draw 22.4% 29.4% 3.40 -14.3%

Away win 34.1% 40.0% 2.50 -14.8%

Over 2.5 64.1% 56.5% 1.77 +13.5%

Over 3.5 40.5% 33.9% 2.95 +19.5%

BTTS 63.4% 62.5% 1.60 +1.4%

Home O1.5 51.3% 45.5% 2.20 +12.9%

Away O1.5 43.3% 45.5% 2.20 -4.7%

League track record ↗

Based on 73 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5 49%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 49%

ROI 0.1%

Bet Hit 59%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 45%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-2

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob63.4%

H 44% / xG 1.7-1.5 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.4%

#2 2–1 8.9%

#3 1–2 7.7%

#4 2–2✓ 6.6%

#5 2–0 6.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sporting JAX1.7

Brooklyn FC1.5

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.1% · O3.5 PROB 40.5%

Form & verdict PPG

SPORTING JAX · PPG 0.25

BROOKLYN FC · PPG 0.00

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

40%

NEUTRAL

No PPG data

Win probability 1X2

Sporting JAX (H) 43.5%

ODDS 2.50 · IMPLIED 40.0% EV +8.8%

Draw 22.4%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -14.3%

Brooklyn FC (A) 34.1%

ODDS 2.50 · IMPLIED 40.0% EV -14.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Sporting JAX face Brooklyn FC in USA - USL Championship on Sunday, May 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sporting JAX a 44% chance, the draw 22% and Brooklyn FC 34%, so Sporting JAX are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Sporting JAX and 1.5 for Brooklyn FC (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sporting JAX are averaging 0.25 points per game versus 0.00 for Brooklyn FC. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +19.5%. This match finished 2-2.

Sporting JAX vs Brooklyn FC Prediction— USA - USL Championship

Match Preview & Prediction

More USA - USL Championship Predictions