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Iceland - Úrvalsdeild logo Iceland flag Iceland - Úrvalsdeild Regular Season - 9 Thorsvollur· Akureyri Sunday, May 31, 2026 17:00
Thor Akureyri logo Thor Akureyri PPG 1.00
1-3 HIT CS4
Stjarnan logo Stjarnan PPG 1.33
Away· +1.2% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value
45% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 23.0%
Odds: 3.20 EV: -15.8%
Draw 22.3%
Odds: 4.00 EV: -6.5%
Away 54.7%
Odds: 1.85 EV: +1.2%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 64.1% Odds: 1.33 -14.8%
Over 3.5 40.5% Odds: 1.80 -27.1%
BTTS 61.0% Odds: 1.30 -20.7%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 1-2
3rd 0-2
4th 1-3
5th 2-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Thor Akureyri
1.30
Stjarnan
2.12

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -14.8% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-14.8%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

League Track Record

Based on 10 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 90%
O2.5/Under 70%
BTTS/No 60%
Score Hit 30%

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value
45%
DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.00) vs Away AVERAGE (1.33)

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