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Argentina - Primera Nacional logo Argentina flag Argentina - Primera Nacional Regular Season - 16 Sunday, May 31, 2026 16:30
A. Atlanta logo A. Atlanta PPG 2.00
1-1 HIT CS4
Gimnasia y Tiro logo Gimnasia y Tiro PPG 0.60
Over3.5· +12.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form
55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 50.5%
Odds: 1.80 EV: -9.1%
Draw 29.2%
Odds: 3.00 EV: -7.4%
Away 20.3%
Odds: 4.80 EV: -1.5%
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 34.0% Odds: 2.85 -3.1%
Over 3.5 18.6% Odds: 6.50 +12.5%
BTTS 44.6% Odds: 2.45 +9.3%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0
2nd 0-0
3rd 2-0
4th 1-1
5th 2-1

Expected Goals (xG)

A. Atlanta
1.31
Gimnasia y Tiro
0.56

Model Suggestion

Home -9.1% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -9.1% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Over3.5 (+12.5%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record

Based on 99 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 42%
O2.5/Under 76%
BTTS/No 66%
Score Hit 74%
ROI 0.3%
Bet Hit 47% (17 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs P(Home)=50.5%

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