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Spain - Segunda División logo Spain flag Spain - Segunda División Regular Season - 41 Estadio Carlos Belmonte· Albacete Sunday, May 24, 2026 14:15
Albacete logo Albacete PPG 1.40
3-1 MISS
Real Sociedad B logo Real Sociedad B PPG 0.90
Away· +1.3% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 46.1%
Odds: 1.85 EV: -14.7%
Draw 27.0%
Odds: 3.75 EV: +0.8%
Away 26.9%
Odds: 3.80 EV: +1.3%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 52.6% Odds: 1.67 -12.2%
Over 3.5 28.0% Odds: 2.70 -14.6%
BTTS 53.9% Odds: 1.57 -15.4%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 0-0
4th 1-0
5th 2-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Albacete
1.49
Real Sociedad B
1.19

Model Suggestion

BTTS -15.4% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -15.4% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+1.3%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.40) > Away POOR (0.90)

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