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Helsingborg vs Norrkoping Prediction— Sweden - Superettan

Matchday 10 ·Sunday, May 31, 2026, 15:00

Helsingborg

PPG 2.00 · HOME

LAST 5

LLDLD

0 – 2

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Norrkoping

PPG 1.40 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWWWD

// Model verdict

BTTS 63% chance

Model probability 61.0% vs bookmaker-implied 63.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.9%0-18.0%0-26.6%0-33.6%0-4+2.2%1 1-06.7%1-111.0%1-29.1%1-35.0%1-4+3.0%2 2-04.6%2-17.6%2-26.2%2-33.4%2-4+2.0%3 3-02.1%3-13.5%3-22.9%3-31.6%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-01.0%4+-11.6%4+-21.3%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 32.7% 32.3% 3.10 +1.4%

Draw 24.8% 28.6% 3.50 -7.9%

Away win 42.5% 46.5% 2.15 -8.6%

Over 2.5 60.1% 57.1% 1.75 +5.2%

Over 3.5 36.2% 35.7% 2.80 +1.4%

BTTS 61.0% 63.7% 1.57 -4.2%

Home O1.5 39.8% 41.7% 2.40 -4.5%

Away O1.5 49.0% 51.3% 1.95 -4.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 107 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 45%

O2.5 52%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 44%

ROI -3.8%

Bet Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 48%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-2

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob61.0%

A 42% / xG 1.4-1.6 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.0%

#2 1–2 9.1%

#3 2–1 7.6%

#4 0–2✓ 6.6%

#5 0–0 4.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Helsingborg1.4

Norrkoping1.6

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.1% · O3.5 PROB 36.2%

Form & verdict PPG

HELSINGBORG · PPG 2.00

NORRKOPING · PPG 1.40

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

Chance this pick lands

63%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.00) > Away AVERAGE (1.40)

Win probability 1X2

Helsingborg (H) 32.7%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV +1.4%

Draw 24.8%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -7.9%

Norrkoping (A) 42.5%

ODDS 2.15 · IMPLIED 46.5% EV -8.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Helsingborg face Norrkoping in Sweden - Superettan on Sunday, May 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Helsingborg a 33% chance, the draw 25% and Norrkoping 43%, so Norrkoping are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Helsingborg and 1.6 for Norrkoping (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Helsingborg are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.40 for Norrkoping. The best value bet our model finds is over 2.5 goals, with an expected value of +5.2%. This match finished 0-2.

Helsingborg vs Norrkoping Prediction— Sweden - Superettan

Match Preview & Prediction

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