Today / Sweden - Superettan / Norrby IF vs Landskrona BoIS
Norrby IF vs Landskrona BoIS Prediction— Sweden - Superettan
Norrby IF
PPG 1.40 · HOME
Landskrona BoIS
PPG 1.55 · AWAY
Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →
0 1 2 3 4+ 0 0-010.5% 0-111.8% 0-26.6% 0-32.4% 0-4+0.9% 1 1-011.9% 1-113.3% 1-27.4% 1-32.8% 1-4+1.0% 2 2-06.8% 2-17.6% 2-24.2% 2-31.6% 2-4+0.6% 3 3-02.6% 3-12.9% 3-21.6% 3-30.6% 3-4+0.2% 4+ 4+-00.9% 4+-11.0% 4+-20.6% 4+-30.2% 4+-4+0.1%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW
Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV
Market Model Implied Odds EV
Home win 36.0% 37.7% 2.65 -4.6%
Draw 28.0% 28.2% 3.55 -0.4%
Away win 36.0% 41.7% 2.40 -13.6%
Over 2.5 44.5% 59.9% 1.67 -25.7%
Over 3.5 25.5% 37.7% 2.65 -19.5%
BTTS 49.9% 66.7% 1.50 -25.1%
Home O1.5 31.2% 46.5% 2.15 -32.9%
Away O1.5 33.2% 50.0% 2.00 -33.6%
League track record ↗
Based on 105 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 46%
O2.5 51%
BTTS 57%
Score Hit 44%
ROI -3.8%
Bet Hit 56%
Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL
1 – 1 30% CONFIDENCE
xG (home) 1.1 xG (away) 1.1 BTTS prob 49.9%
D 28% / xG 1.1-1.1 / U2.5 44% / NoBTTS 50%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
#1 1–1 13.3%
#2 0–0 10.5%
#3 0–1 11.8%
#4 1–0 11.9%
#5 1–2 7.4%
Form & verdict PPG
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v... HIGH_DRAW_RISK xG gap +0.02, combined xG 2.25 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk
Win probability 1X2
Landskrona BoIS (A) 36.0%
Season statistics shots · possession · passes · corners · cards · xG + Season Statistics average per match · 8 matches · 2026 Norrby IF ▾ lower is better Landskrona BoIS
Attack
1.0 Shots outside box
2.2 64.3% Shooting accuracy
64.2% 44.4% Goals per shot on target
23.3% 0.78 xG for 2·4 of 8
2.18 Defence
3.3 Shots on target faced▾
4.0 1.44 Goals conceded▾
1.12 1.66 xG against▾ 2·4 of 8
1.99 Control
73.4% Pass accuracy
84.3% Discipline
Match Preview & Prediction Norrby IF face Landskrona BoIS in Sweden - Superettan on Saturday, September 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Norrby IF a 36% chance, the draw 28% and Landskrona BoIS 36%, so Norrby IF are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Norrby IF and 1.1 for Landskrona BoIS (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Norrby IF are averaging 1.40 points per game versus 1.55 for Landskrona BoIS.
Matchday 22 ·Saturday, September 5, 2026, 13:00
