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GIF Sundsvall vs Norrby IF Prediction— Sweden - Superettan

Matchday 21 ·Monday, August 31, 2026, 17:00

GIF Sundsvall

PPG 0.70 · HOME

LAST 5

LLDLW

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Norrby IF

PPG 0.90 · AWAY

LAST 5

DWLDL

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 52.0% vs bookmaker-implied 59.9%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.8%0-113.2%0-29.9%0-34.9%0-4+2.6%1 1-08.2%1-112.3%1-29.2%1-34.6%1-4+2.4%2 2-03.8%2-15.7%2-24.3%2-32.1%2-4+1.1%3 3-01.2%3-11.8%3-21.3%3-30.7%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.5%4+-20.4%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 24.8% 34.5% 2.90 -16.9%

Draw 26.7% 29.4% 3.40 -5.5%

Away win 48.6% 43.5% 2.30 +11.8%

Over 2.5 50.4% 52.4% 1.91 -3.7%

Over 3.5 28.7% 30.3% 3.30 -3.2%

BTTS 52.0% 59.9% 1.67 -13.2%

Home O1.5 30.8% 39.2% 2.55 -21.5%

Away O1.5 42.4% 45.5% 2.20 -6.7%

League track record ↗

Based on 105 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 51%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 44%

ROI -3.8%

Bet Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 23%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob52.0%

A 49% / xG 0.9-1.5 / O2.5 50% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.3%

#2 0–1 13.2%

#3 0–2 9.9%

#4 0–0 8.8%

#5 1–2 9.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

GIF Sundsvall0.9

Norrby IF1.5

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.4% · O3.5 PROB 28.7%

Form & verdict PPG

GIF SUNDSVALL · PPG 0.70

NORRBY IF · PPG 0.90

⚠ CAUTION - Home form weak, consider away

65%

DANGER

xG gap -0.57 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

GIF Sundsvall (H) 24.8%

ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV -16.9%

Draw 26.7%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -5.5%

Norrby IF (A) 48.6%

ODDS 2.30 · IMPLIED 43.5% EV +11.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

GIF Sundsvall face Norrby IF in Sweden - Superettan on Monday, August 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives GIF Sundsvall a 25% chance, the draw 27% and Norrby IF 49%, so Norrby IF are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for GIF Sundsvall and 1.5 for Norrby IF (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, GIF Sundsvall are averaging 0.70 points per game versus 0.90 for Norrby IF. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +15.0%. This match finished 1-0.

GIF Sundsvall vs Norrby IF Prediction— Sweden - Superettan

Match Preview & Prediction

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