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Tromsdalen vs Skeid Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 2

Regular Season - 9 ·Sunday, May 31, 2026, 14:30

Tromsdalen

PPG 1.50 · HOME

2 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Skeid

PPG 0.75 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.1 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 60.1% vs bookmaker-implied 69.0%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.5%0-15.6%0-23.5%0-31.5%0-4+0.6%1 1-08.3%1-110.4%1-26.5%1-32.7%1-4+1.1%2 2-07.7%2-19.6%2-26.0%2-32.5%2-4+1.0%3 3-04.7%3-15.9%3-23.7%3-31.6%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-03.3%4+-14.2%4+-22.6%4+-31.1%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.3% 61.7% 1.62 -25.0%

Draw 24.6% 25.0% 4.00 -1.0%

Away win 29.1% 23.1% 4.33 +15.6%

Over 2.5 60.1% 69.0% 1.45 -12.9%

Over 3.5 36.2% 46.5% 2.15 -22.2%

BTTS 55.3% 67.6% 1.48 -18.2%

Home O1.5 55.1% 67.6% 1.48 -18.4%

Away O1.5 35.7% 38.5% 2.60 -7.2%

League track record ↗

Based on 34 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 62%

O2.5 74%

BTTS 65%

Score Hit 35%

ROI -0.6%

Bet Hit 70%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 44%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-0

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob55.3%

H 46% / xG 1.8-1.3 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.4%

#2 2–1 9.6%

#3 2–0✓ 7.7%

#4 1–0 8.3%

#5 1–2 6.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Tromsdalen1.8

Skeid1.3

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.1% · O3.5 PROB 36.2%

Form & verdict PPG

TROMSDALEN · PPG 1.50

SKEID · PPG 0.75

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.50) > Away POOR (0.75)

Win probability 1X2

Tromsdalen (H) 46.3%

ODDS 1.62 · IMPLIED 61.7% EV -25.0%

Draw 24.6%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV -1.0%

Skeid (A) 29.1%

ODDS 4.33 · IMPLIED 23.1% EV +15.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Tromsdalen face Skeid in Norway - 2. Division - Group 2 on Sunday, May 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Tromsdalen a 46% chance, the draw 25% and Skeid 29%, so Tromsdalen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Tromsdalen and 1.3 for Skeid (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Tromsdalen are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 0.75 for Skeid. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +15.6%. This match finished 2-0.

Tromsdalen vs Skeid Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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