Today / Norway - 2. Division - Group 2 / Rana vs Stjordals-Blink

Rana vs Stjordals-Blink Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 2

Regular Season - 9 ·Sunday, May 31, 2026, 14:30

Rana logo
Rana
PPG 1.00 · HOME
3 – 2
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS
Stjordals-Blink logo
Stjordals-Blink
PPG 0.75 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 61.0% vs bookmaker-implied 70.4%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.3%0-16.8%0-24.4%0-31.9%0-4+0.8%1 1-08.7%1-111.2%1-27.3%1-33.1%1-4+1.3%2 2-07.2%2-19.3%2-26.0%2-32.6%2-4+1.1%3 3-04.0%3-15.1%3-23.3%3-31.4%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-02.4%4+-13.1%4+-22.0%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.4%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 45.4% 43.5% 2.30 +4.4%
Draw 25.7% 27.0% 3.70 -2.9%
Away win 28.9% 39.2% 2.55 -15.8%
Over 2.5 60.1% 67.6% 1.48 -11.1%
Over 3.5 36.2% 45.5% 2.20 -20.4%
BTTS 61.0% 70.4% 1.42 -13.4%
Home O1.5 49.2% 55.6% 1.80 -11.4%
Away O1.5 37.0% 51.8% 1.93 -28.6%

League track record

Based on 34 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 62%
O2.5 74%
BTTS 65%
Score Hit 35%
ROI -0.6%
Bet Hit 70%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 49%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 3-2
xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob61.0%

H 45% / xG 1.7-1.3 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.2%
#2 2–1 9.3%
#3 1–2 7.3%
#4 2–0 7.2%
#5 1–0 8.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Rana1.7
Stjordals-Blink1.3

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.1% · O3.5 PROB 36.2%

Form & verdict PPG

RANA · PPG 1.00

STJORDALS-BLINK · PPG 0.75

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away POOR (0.75)

Win probability 1X2

Rana (H) 45.4%
ODDS 2.30 · IMPLIED 43.5% EV +4.4%
Draw 25.7%
ODDS 3.70 · IMPLIED 27.0% EV -2.9%
Stjordals-Blink (A) 28.9%
ODDS 2.55 · IMPLIED 39.2% EV -15.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Rana face Stjordals-Blink in Norway - 2. Division - Group 2 on Sunday, May 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Rana a 45% chance, the draw 26% and Stjordals-Blink 29%, so Rana are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Rana and 1.3 for Stjordals-Blink (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Rana are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 0.75 for Stjordals-Blink. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +4.4%. This match finished 3-2.

PredictVantage

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