Today / Brazil - Serie A / Bragantino vs Internacional

Bragantino vs Internacional Prediction— Brazil - Serie A

Regular Season - 18 ·Sunday, May 31, 2026, 14:00

Bragantino

PPG 1.63 · HOME

3 – 1

FULL TIME

Internacional

PPG 1.25 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.1%0-110.8%0-24.9%0-31.5%0-4+0.4%1 1-014.7%1-113.2%1-25.9%1-31.8%1-4+0.5%2 2-08.9%2-18.0%2-23.6%2-31.1%2-4+0.3%3 3-03.6%3-13.3%3-21.5%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.4%4+-11.3%4+-20.6%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 44.0% 45.0% 2.22 -2.3%

Draw 28.6% 29.9% 3.35 -2.5%

Away win 27.4% 32.3% 3.10 -9.0%

Over 2.5 46.2% 50.0% 2.00 -7.6%

Over 3.5 27.7% 28.2% 3.55 -1.0%

BTTS 48.6% 56.5% 1.77 -14.0%

Home O1.5 34.4% 45.5% 2.20 -24.3%

Away O1.5 22.7% 35.7% 2.80 -21.9%

League track record ↗

Based on 68 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%

O2.5 47%

BTTS 54%

Score Hit 53%

ROI -6.3%

Bet Hit 51%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 27%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-1

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob48.6%

H 44% / xG 1.2-0.9 / U2.5 46% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.2%

#2 0–0 12.1%

#3 1–0 14.7%

#4 2–0 8.9%

#5 0–1 10.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bragantino1.2

Internacional0.9

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.2% · O3.5 PROB 27.7%

Form & verdict PPG

BRAGANTINO · PPG 1.63

INTERNACIONAL · PPG 1.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.63) > Away AVERAGE (1.25)

Win probability 1X2

Bragantino (H) 44.0%

ODDS 2.22 · IMPLIED 45.0% EV -2.3%

Draw 28.6%

ODDS 3.35 · IMPLIED 29.9% EV -2.5%

Internacional (A) 27.4%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -9.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Bragantino face Internacional in Brazil - Serie A on Sunday, May 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bragantino a 44% chance, the draw 29% and Internacional 27%, so Bragantino are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Bragantino and 0.9 for Internacional (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bragantino are averaging 1.63 points per game versus 1.25 for Internacional. This match finished 3-1.

Bragantino vs Internacional Prediction— Brazil - Serie A

Match Preview & Prediction

More Brazil - Serie A Predictions