Today / Denmark - 1. Division / Aarhus Fremad vs Kolding IF

Aarhus Fremad vs Kolding IF Prediction— Denmark - 1. Division

Matchday 7 ·Sunday, September 6, 2026, 11:00

Aarhus Fremad

PPG 1.49 · HOME

LAST 5

LWDDD

UPCOMING

Kolding IF

PPG 1.03 · AWAY

LAST 5

LDLDW

// Model verdict

BTTS 59% chance

Model probability 52.9% vs bookmaker-implied 61.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.8%0-17.8%0-23.8%0-31.3%0-4+0.4%1 1-012.2%1-112.1%1-26.0%1-32.0%1-4+0.6%2 2-09.5%2-19.4%2-24.7%2-31.5%2-4+0.5%3 3-04.9%3-14.9%3-22.4%3-30.8%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-02.7%4+-12.7%4+-21.3%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.8% 40.8% 2.45 +14.7%

Draw 25.5% 33.3% 3.00 -14.1%

Away win 27.7% 38.2% 2.62 -16.5%

Over 2.5 50.7% 55.6% 1.80 -8.7%

Over 3.5 30.5% 36.4% 2.75 -16.1%

BTTS 52.9% 61.7% 1.62 -14.3%

Home O1.5 45.9% 45.5% 2.20 +1.0%

Away O1.5 29.5% 42.0% 2.38 -17.9%

League track record ↗

Based on 58 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%

O2.5 62%

BTTS 66%

Score Hit 36%

ROI 29.9%

Bet Hit 78%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 25%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob52.9%

H 47% / xG 1.6-1.0 / O2.5 51% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.1%

#2 1–0 12.2%

#3 2–0 9.5%

#4 2–1 9.4%

#5 0–0 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Aarhus Fremad1.6

Kolding IF1.0

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.7% · O3.5 PROB 30.5%

Form & verdict PPG

AARHUS FREMAD · PPG 1.49

KOLDING IF · PPG 1.03

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

Chance this pick lands

59%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.56 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Aarhus Fremad (H) 46.8%

ODDS 2.45 · IMPLIED 40.8% EV +14.7%

Draw 25.5%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -14.1%

Kolding IF (A) 27.7%

ODDS 2.62 · IMPLIED 38.2% EV -16.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Aarhus Fremad face Kolding IF in Denmark - 1. Division on Sunday, September 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Aarhus Fremad a 47% chance, the draw 26% and Kolding IF 28%, so Aarhus Fremad are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Aarhus Fremad and 1.0 for Kolding IF (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Aarhus Fremad are averaging 1.49 points per game versus 1.03 for Kolding IF. The best value bet our model finds is RES_H/O15, with an expected value of +14.1%.

Aarhus Fremad vs Kolding IF Prediction— Denmark - 1. Division

Match Preview & Prediction

More Denmark - 1. Division Predictions