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Degerfors IF vs Halmstad Prediction— Sweden - Allsvenskan

Matchday 20 ·Saturday, September 5, 2026, 13:00

Degerfors IF

PPG 0.89 · HOME

LAST 5

LWWLL

UPCOMING

Halmstad

PPG 0.33 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLLDW

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.3%0-19.0%0-23.6%0-30.9%0-4+0.2%1 1-015.7%1-112.4%1-24.9%1-31.3%1-4+0.3%2 2-010.9%2-18.6%2-23.4%2-30.9%2-4+0.2%3 3-05.0%3-14.0%3-21.6%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-02.4%4+-11.9%4+-20.7%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 47.1% 52.6% 1.90 -10.5%

Draw 28.2% 29.0% 3.45 -1.6%

Away win 24.7% 25.3% 3.95 -1.5%

Over 2.5 44.2% 51.3% 1.95 -13.8%

Over 3.5 24.4% 28.6% 3.50 -8.8%

BTTS 48.0% 56.5% 1.77 -15.0%

Home O1.5 39.6% 51.3% 1.95 -22.8%

Away O1.5 23.3% 30.8% 3.25 -14.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 90 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 62%

BTTS 53%

Score Hit 42%

ROI -9.4%

Bet Hit 54%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 32%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob48.0%

H 47% / xG 1.4-0.8 / U2.5 44% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 15.7%

#2 1–1 12.4%

#3 0–0 11.3%

#4 2–0 10.9%

#5 0–1 9.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Degerfors IF1.4

Halmstad0.8

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.2% · O3.5 PROB 24.4%

Form & verdict PPG

DEGERFORS IF · PPG 0.89

HALMSTAD · PPG 0.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.59 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Degerfors IF (H) 47.1%

ODDS 1.90 · IMPLIED 52.6% EV -10.5%

Draw 28.2%

ODDS 3.45 · IMPLIED 29.0% EV -1.6%

Halmstad (A) 24.7%

ODDS 3.95 · IMPLIED 25.3% EV -1.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Degerfors IF face Halmstad in Sweden - Allsvenskan on Saturday, September 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Degerfors IF a 47% chance, the draw 28% and Halmstad 25%, so Degerfors IF are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Degerfors IF and 0.8 for Halmstad (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Degerfors IF are averaging 0.89 points per game versus 0.33 for Halmstad.

Degerfors IF vs Halmstad Prediction— Sweden - Allsvenskan

Match Preview & Prediction

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