Today / China - Super League / Wuhan Three T. vs Yunnan Yukun

Wuhan Three T. vs Yunnan Yukun Prediction— China - Super League

Matchday 15 ·Sunday, May 31, 2026, 11:35

Wuhan Three T.

PPG 1.17 · HOME

LAST 5

WDLDW

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Yunnan Yukun

PPG 1.43 · AWAY

LAST 5

LWWDL

// Model verdict

Over 2.5 66% chance

Combined xG of 3.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 65.8% vs bookmaker-implied 65.4% — a real, if thin, edge.

+0.7% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.5%0-15.1%0-25.2%0-33.5%0-4+2.8%1 1-04.2%1-18.5%1-28.6%1-35.8%1-4+4.6%2 2-03.5%2-17.0%2-27.1%2-34.8%2-4+3.8%3 3-01.9%3-13.9%3-23.9%3-32.6%3-4+2.1%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-12.3%4+-22.4%4+-31.6%4+-4+1.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.4% 37.3% 2.68 -5.1%

Draw 22.3% 27.0% 3.70 -10.5%

Away win 42.3% 44.6% 2.24 -5.3%

Over 2.5 65.8% 65.4% 1.53 +0.7%

Over 3.5 43.1% 42.6% 2.35 +1.3%

BTTS 63.4% 69.4% 1.44 -8.7%

Home O1.5 49.3% 48.8% 2.05 +1.1%

Away O1.5 59.9% 54.1% 1.85 +10.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 109 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 38%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 65%

Score Hit 35%

ROI -10.7%

Bet Hit 52%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 54%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)2.0 BTTS prob63.4%

A 42% / xG 1.7-2.0 / O2.5 66% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 8.5%

#2 1–2 8.6%

#3 2–2 7.1%

#4 2–1 7.0%

#5 1–3 5.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Wuhan Three T.1.7

Yunnan Yukun2.0

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.8% · O3.5 PROB 43.1%

Form & verdict PPG

WUHAN THREE T. · PPG 1.17

YUNNAN YUKUN · PPG 1.43

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

Chance this pick lands

66%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.17), Away AVERAGE (1.43)

Win probability 1X2

Wuhan Three T. (H) 35.4%

ODDS 2.68 · IMPLIED 37.3% EV -5.1%

Draw 22.3%

ODDS 3.70 · IMPLIED 27.0% EV -10.5%

Yunnan Yukun (A) 42.3%

ODDS 2.24 · IMPLIED 44.6% EV -5.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Wuhan Three T. face Yunnan Yukun in China - Super League on Sunday, May 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Wuhan Three T. a 35% chance, the draw 22% and Yunnan Yukun 42%, so Yunnan Yukun are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Wuhan Three T. and 2.0 for Yunnan Yukun (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Wuhan Three T. are averaging 1.17 points per game versus 1.43 for Yunnan Yukun. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +12.5%. This match finished 1-1.

Wuhan Three T. vs Yunnan Yukun Prediction— China - Super League

Match Preview & Prediction

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