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Tianjin JT vs Dalian Yingbo Prediction— China - Super League

Matchday 15 ·Sunday, May 31, 2026, 11:00

Tianjin JT

PPG 0.43 · HOME

LAST 5

WLLDD

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Dalian Yingbo

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

LAST 5

WLDWD

// Model verdict

BTTS 60% chance

Model probability 61.0% vs bookmaker-implied 58.8% — a real, if thin, edge.

+3.7% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.7%0-16.7%0-24.8%0-32.3%0-4+1.1%1 1-07.6%1-110.9%1-27.8%1-33.7%1-4+1.8%2 2-06.2%2-18.9%2-26.4%2-33.1%2-4+1.5%3 3-03.4%3-14.8%3-23.5%3-31.7%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-02.0%4+-12.8%4+-22.0%4+-31.0%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 40.1% 36.0% 2.78 +11.5%

Draw 24.5% 30.8% 3.25 -12.2%

Away win 35.4% 42.0% 2.38 -15.8%

Over 2.5 60.1% 50.0% 2.00 +20.2%

Over 3.5 36.2% 29.0% 3.45 +24.9%

BTTS 61.0% 58.8% 1.70 +3.7%

Home O1.5 48.5% 38.2% 2.62 +27.1%

Away O1.5 42.0% 42.6% 2.35 -1.3%

League track record ↗

Based on 109 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 38%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 65%

Score Hit 35%

ROI -10.7%

Bet Hit 52%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 46%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob61.0%

H 40% / xG 1.6-1.4 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.9%

#2 2–1 8.9%

#3 1–2 7.8%

#4 2–2 6.4%

#5 0–0 4.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Tianjin JT1.6

Dalian Yingbo1.4

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.1% · O3.5 PROB 36.2%

Form & verdict PPG

TIANJIN JT · PPG 0.43

DALIAN YINGBO · PPG 1.00

⚠ MIXED SIGNALS - Model favors home but form suggests away strength

Chance this pick lands

60%

CAUTION_HOME

Caution: Away form (1.00) strong but model favors Home (P=40.1%)

Win probability 1X2

Tianjin JT (H) 40.1%

ODDS 2.78 · IMPLIED 36.0% EV +11.5%

Draw 24.5%

ODDS 3.25 · IMPLIED 30.8% EV -12.2%

Dalian Yingbo (A) 35.4%

ODDS 2.38 · IMPLIED 42.0% EV -15.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Tianjin JT face Dalian Yingbo in China - Super League on Sunday, May 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Tianjin JT a 40% chance, the draw 25% and Dalian Yingbo 35%, so Tianjin JT are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Tianjin JT and 1.4 for Dalian Yingbo (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Tianjin JT are averaging 0.43 points per game versus 1.00 for Dalian Yingbo. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +27.1%. This match finished 1-0.

Tianjin JT vs Dalian Yingbo Prediction— China - Super League

Match Preview & Prediction

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