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Olympic FC vs Brisbane City Prediction— Australia - Queensland NPL

Regular Season - 13 ·Sunday, May 31, 2026, 08:00

Olympic FC

PPG 2.00 · HOME

2 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Brisbane City

PPG 2.33 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.8 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 73.5% vs bookmaker-implied 73.5%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.8%0-11.9%0-22.2%0-31.7%0-4+1.7%1 1-02.0%1-14.7%1-25.5%1-34.2%1-4+4.2%2 2-02.5%2-15.9%2-26.8%2-35.2%2-4+5.2%3 3-02.1%3-14.9%3-25.7%3-34.4%3-4+4.3%4+ 4+-02.4%4+-15.5%4+-26.4%4+-34.9%4+-4+4.9%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 41.0% 45.5% 2.20 -9.8%

Draw 19.9% 26.0% 3.85 -14.0%

Away win 39.1% 38.5% 2.60 +1.7%

Over 2.5 73.5% 73.5% 1.36 -0.0%

Over 3.5 54.6% 51.8% 1.93 +5.4%

BTTS 65.9% 75.2% 1.33 -12.3%

Home O1.5 71.1% 60.6% 1.65 +17.3%

Away O1.5 67.2% 55.6% 1.80 +21.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 44 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 59%

O2.5 77%

BTTS 73%

Score Hit 36%

ROI -1.9%

Bet Hit 75%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 2 58%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-3

xG (home)2.5 xG (away)2.3 BTTS prob65.9%

H 41% / xG 2.5-2.3 / O2.5 74% / BTTS 66%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–2 6.8%

#2 2–1 5.9%

#3 3–2 5.7%

#4 1–2 5.5%

#5 1–1 4.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Olympic FC2.5

Brisbane City2.3

COMBINED 4.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 73.5% · O3.5 PROB 54.6%

Form & verdict PPG

OLYMPIC FC · PPG 2.00

BRISBANE CITY · PPG 2.33

⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

65%

DANGER

Home weakness: EXCELLENT (2.00) vs Away EXCELLENT (2.33)

Win probability 1X2

Olympic FC (H) 41.0%

ODDS 2.20 · IMPLIED 45.5% EV -9.8%

Draw 19.9%

ODDS 3.85 · IMPLIED 26.0% EV -14.0%

Brisbane City (A) 39.1%

ODDS 2.60 · IMPLIED 38.5% EV +1.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Olympic FC face Brisbane City in Australia - Queensland NPL on Sunday, May 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Olympic FC a 41% chance, the draw 20% and Brisbane City 39%, so Olympic FC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.5 for Olympic FC and 2.3 for Brisbane City (4.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-2. There is a 74% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 66% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Olympic FC are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 2.33 for Brisbane City. The best value bet our model finds is AwayO15, with an expected value of +21.0%. This match finished 2-3.

Olympic FC vs Brisbane City Prediction— Australia - Queensland NPL

Match Preview & Prediction

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