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Australia - Queensland NPL logo Australia flag Australia - Queensland NPL Regular Season - 13 Sunday, May 31, 2026 04:30
Magic United logo Magic United PPG 0.50
3-5 MISS
Q. Lions logo Q. Lions PPG 2.00
Draw· +29.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum
63% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 9.8%
Odds: 13.00 EV: +16.4%
Draw 21.2%
Odds: 7.00 EV: +29.0%
Away 69.0%
Odds: 1.14 EV: -21.3%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 72.7% Odds: 1.22 -11.3%
Over 3.5 54.6% Odds: 1.62 -11.6%
BTTS 55.3% Odds: 1.62 -10.4%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-4
2nd 0-3
3rd 0-5
4th 1-4
5th 1-3

Expected Goals (xG)

Magic United
0.79
Q. Lions
4.15

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -11.3% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -11.3% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Draw (+29.0%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum
63%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs Home POOR (0.50)

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