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Australia - Northern NSW NPL logo Australia flag Australia - Northern NSW NPL Regular Season - 14 Sunday, May 31, 2026 03:00
Broadmeadow logo Broadmeadow PPG 2.00
2-1 HIT MostLikelyScore
Lambton Jaffas logo Lambton Jaffas PPG 2.25
AwayO15· +11.4% ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
60% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 50.5%
Odds: 1.85 EV: -6.6%
Draw 21.4%
Odds: 3.60 EV: -13.8%
Away 28.1%
Odds: 3.40 EV: -2.7%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 68.1% Odds: 1.40 -4.7%
Over 3.5 45.5% Odds: 1.90 -13.6%
BTTS 63.4% Odds: 1.40 -11.2%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-1
2nd 1-1
3rd 2-2
4th 3-1
5th 1-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Broadmeadow
2.35
Lambton Jaffas
1.77

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -4.7% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -4.7% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: AwayO15 (+11.4%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
60%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.00), Away EXCELLENT (2.25)

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