← Back to picks 
USA - USL Championship Saturday, May 30, 2026 23:00 
Pittsburgh PPG 2.00 
Miami FC PPG 1.00
USA - USL Championship Saturday, May 30, 2026 23:00 Pittsburgh PPG 2.002-0 HIT CS5
Miami FC PPG 1.00Away + Over 2.5· +21.6% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 53.5% Odds: 1.85 -1.0%
Over 3.5 31.8% Odds: 3.20 +1.8%
BTTS 55.3% Odds: 1.80 -0.5%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✘
2nd 2-1 ✘
3rd 0-0 ✘
4th 1-0 ✘
5th 2-0 ✔
Expected Goals (xG)
Pittsburgh 1.50
Miami FC 1.14
Model Suggestion
BTTS -0.5% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -0.5% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away + Over 2.5 (+21.6%) — probability too low to qualify.
Highest raw EV: Away + Over 2.5 (+21.6%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME 55%
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs P(Home)=45.2%