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USA - USL Championship Saturday, May 30, 2026 23:00 
Indy Eleven PPG 2.60 
Rhode Island PPG 1.00
USA - USL Championship Saturday, May 30, 2026 23:00 Indy Eleven PPG 2.601-0 MISS
Rhode Island PPG 1.00Home + Over 2.5· +54.8% 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
95% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Over 2.5
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 64.1% Odds: 1.70 +9.0%
Over 3.5 40.5% Odds: 2.75 +11.4%
BTTS 61.0% Odds: 1.55 -5.5%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✘
2nd 2-1 ✘
3rd 2-0 ✘
4th 2-2 ✘
5th 1-2 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Indy Eleven 2.00
Rhode Island 1.34
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5 +9.0% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5.
Raw EV leader: Home + Over 2.5(+54.8%)
Raw EV leader: Home + Over 2.5(+54.8%)
Verdict & Form
🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME 95%
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.60) vs P(Home)=50.1%