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USA - USL Championship
Group Stage
Trinity Health Stadium
Saturday, May 30, 2026
23:00
Hartford A.
PPG 1.25
0-0
HIT CS2
New Mexico
PPG 0.75
Away· +12.2%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
37.6%
Odds: 1.85
EV: -30.4%
Draw
30.8%
Odds: 3.50
EV: +7.8%
Away
31.6%
Odds: 3.55
EV: +12.2%
Result: Draw ✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
36.5%
Odds: 1.70
-38.0%
Over 3.5
22.5%
Odds: 2.70
-23.5%
BTTS
47.2%
Odds: 1.57
-25.9%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔
BTTS NO → NO ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st
1-1
✘
2nd
0-0
✔
3rd
1-0
✘
4th
0-1
✘
5th
2-0
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Hartford A.
1.09
New Mexico
0.92
Model Suggestion
No Bet
NO VALUE BET
Model lean:
No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52%
MODERATE_HOME
Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.25) > Away POOR (0.75)