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Atletico GO vs Goias Prediction— Brazil - Serie B

Regular Season - 11 ·Saturday, May 30, 2026, 19:00

Atletico GO

PPG 1.40 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

Goias

PPG 0.80 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-016.1%0-112.8%0-25.1%0-31.4%0-4+0.3%1 1-016.6%1-113.2%1-25.3%1-31.4%1-4+0.3%2 2-08.5%2-16.8%2-22.7%2-30.7%2-4+0.2%3 3-02.9%3-12.3%3-20.9%3-30.2%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-10.7%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 38.3% 43.9% 2.28 -12.7%

Draw 34.3% 32.8% 3.05 +4.6%

Away win 27.5% 30.8% 3.25 -6.4%

Over 2.5 34.0% 40.0% 2.50 -15.0%

Over 3.5 18.6% 20.0% 5.00 -4.2%

BTTS 46.5% 48.8% 2.05 -4.7%

Home O1.5 27.5% 38.2% 2.62 -16.8%

Away O1.5 19.0% 28.6% 3.50 -20.1%

League track record ↗

Based on 101 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 57%

ROI 15.6%

Bet Hit 59%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 36%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob46.5%

H 38% / xG 1.0-0.8 / U2.5 34% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 16.1%

#2 1–1✓ 13.2%

#3 1–0 16.6%

#4 0–1 12.8%

#5 2–0 8.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Atletico GO1.0

Goias0.8

COMBINED 1.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 34.0% · O3.5 PROB 18.6%

Form & verdict PPG

ATLETICO GO · PPG 1.40

GOIAS · PPG 0.80

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.40) > Away POOR (0.80)

Win probability 1X2

Atletico GO (H) 38.3%

ODDS 2.28 · IMPLIED 43.9% EV -12.7%

Draw 34.3%

ODDS 3.05 · IMPLIED 32.8% EV +4.6%

Goias (A) 27.5%

ODDS 3.25 · IMPLIED 30.8% EV -6.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Atletico GO face Goias in Brazil - Serie B on Saturday, May 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Atletico GO a 38% chance, the draw 34% and Goias 28%, so Atletico GO are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Atletico GO and 0.8 for Goias (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 34% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Atletico GO are averaging 1.40 points per game versus 0.80 for Goias. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +4.6%. This match finished 1-1.

Atletico GO vs Goias Prediction— Brazil - Serie B

Match Preview & Prediction

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