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Brazil - Serie A Saturday, May 30, 2026 19:00 
Athletico PR PPG 2.22 
Mirassol PPG 0.57
Brazil - Serie A Saturday, May 30, 2026 19:00 Athletico PR PPG 2.221-0 HIT CS2
Mirassol PPG 0.57Over3.5· +9.8% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 46.6% Odds: 2.20 +2.5%
Over 3.5 27.7% Odds: 4.20 +9.8%
BTTS 47.2% Odds: 2.00 -5.6%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✘
2nd 1-0 ✔
3rd 2-0 ✘
4th 0-0 ✘
5th 2-1 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Athletico PR 1.57
Mirassol 0.77
Model Suggestion
Home -5.0% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -5.0% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Over3.5 (+9.8%) — probability too low to qualify.
Highest raw EV: Over3.5 (+9.8%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME 55%
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.22) vs P(Home)=52.5%