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Argentina - Primera Nacional logo Argentina flag Argentina - Primera Nacional Regular Season - 16 Estadio Fragata Presidente Sarmiento· Isidro Casanova Saturday, May 30, 2026 18:30
Almirante Brown logo Almirante Brown PPG 1.67
1-1 HIT CS4
Colon Santa Fe logo Colon Santa Fe PPG 1.00
BTTS· -1.8% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 34.6%
Odds: 2.70 EV: -6.6%
Draw 37.1%
Odds: 2.55 EV: -5.4%
Away 28.4%
Odds: 2.95 EV: -9.7%
Result: Draw ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 25.8% Odds: 3.25 -9.7%
Over 3.5 12.5% Odds: 7.00 -7.5%
BTTS 41.8% Odds: 2.35 -1.8%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-0
2nd 0-1
3rd 1-0
4th 1-1
5th 0-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Almirante Brown
0.61
Colon Santa Fe
0.62

Model Suggestion

No Bet NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

League Track Record

Based on 99 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 42%
O2.5/Under 76%
BTTS/No 66%
Score Hit 74%
ROI 0.3%
Bet Hit 47% (17 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.67) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)

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