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Colegiales vs Agropecuario Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Regular Season - 16 ·Saturday, May 30, 2026, 18:00

Colegiales

PPG 2.33 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

Agropecuario

PPG 0.83 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-017.9%0-111.0%0-23.4%0-30.7%0-4+0.1%1 1-019.8%1-112.2%1-23.7%1-30.8%1-4+0.1%2 2-010.9%2-16.7%2-22.1%2-30.4%2-4+0.1%3 3-04.0%3-12.5%3-20.8%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-01.4%4+-10.9%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 43.5% 52.4% 1.91 -16.9%

Draw 33.3% 33.9% 2.95 -1.8%

Away win 23.2% 23.1% 4.33 +0.3%

Over 2.5 33.9% 36.4% 2.75 -6.8%

Over 3.5 18.6% 16.7% 6.00 +7.0%

BTTS 45.5% 43.5% 2.30 +4.7%

Home O1.5 30.3% 40.8% 2.45 -25.8%

Away O1.5 12.7% 21.1% 4.75 -23.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 177 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 68%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 67%

ROI -1.5%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 38%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob45.5%

H 44% / xG 1.1-0.6 / U2.5 34% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0✓ 17.9%

#2 1–0 19.8%

#3 1–1 12.2%

#4 2–0 10.9%

#5 0–1 11.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Colegiales1.1

Agropecuario0.6

COMBINED 1.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 33.9% · O3.5 PROB 18.6%

Form & verdict PPG

COLEGIALES · PPG 2.33

AGROPECUARIO · PPG 0.83

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.33) vs P(Home)=43.5%

Win probability 1X2

Colegiales (H) 43.5%

ODDS 1.91 · IMPLIED 52.4% EV -16.9%

Draw 33.3%

ODDS 2.95 · IMPLIED 33.9% EV -1.8%

Agropecuario (A) 23.2%

ODDS 4.33 · IMPLIED 23.1% EV +0.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Colegiales face Agropecuario in Argentina - Primera Nacional on Saturday, May 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Colegiales a 44% chance, the draw 33% and Agropecuario 23%, so Colegiales are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Colegiales and 0.6 for Agropecuario (1.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 34% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Colegiales are averaging 2.33 points per game versus 0.83 for Agropecuario. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +7.0%. This match finished 0-0.

Colegiales vs Agropecuario Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Match Preview & Prediction

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