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CA Estudiantes vs Godoy Cruz Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Regular Season - 16 ·Saturday, May 30, 2026, 18:00

CA Estudiantes

PPG 1.00 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

Godoy Cruz

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-029.5%0-120.7%0-27.3%0-31.7%0-4+0.3%1 1-015.3%1-110.7%1-23.8%1-30.9%1-4+0.2%2 2-04.0%2-12.8%2-21.0%2-30.2%2-4+0.0%3 3-00.7%3-10.5%3-20.2%3-30.0%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.1%4+-20.0%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 22.7% 40.0% 2.50 -25.9%

Draw 38.8% 40.8% 2.45 -4.9%

Away win 38.5% 28.6% 3.50 +34.8%

Over 2.5 25.8% 32.3% 3.10 -12.0%

Over 3.5 12.5% 14.3% 7.00 -7.5%

BTTS 41.8% 45.5% 2.20 -8.0%

Home O1.5 9.6% 33.3% 3.00 -42.7%

Away O1.5 15.7% 25.0% 4.00 -22.3%

League track record ↗

Based on 177 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 68%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 67%

ROI -1.5%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 33%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)0.5 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob41.8%

A 38% / xG 0.5-0.7 / U2.5 26% / NoBTTS 42%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 29.5%

#2 0–1 20.7%

#3 1–0✓ 15.3%

#4 1–1 10.7%

#5 0–2 7.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

CA Estudiantes0.5

Godoy Cruz0.7

COMBINED 1.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 25.8% · O3.5 PROB 12.5%

Form & verdict PPG

CA ESTUDIANTES · PPG 1.00

GODOY CRUZ · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity | Best EV...

48%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

CA Estudiantes (H) 22.7%

ODDS 2.50 · IMPLIED 40.0% EV -25.9%

Draw 38.8%

ODDS 2.45 · IMPLIED 40.8% EV -4.9%

Godoy Cruz (A) 38.5%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV +34.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

CA Estudiantes face Godoy Cruz in Argentina - Primera Nacional on Saturday, May 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives CA Estudiantes a 23% chance, the draw 39% and Godoy Cruz 39%, so a draw is the most likely result. Expected goals are 0.5 for CA Estudiantes and 0.7 for Godoy Cruz (1.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 26% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 42% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, CA Estudiantes are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.00 for Godoy Cruz. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +34.8%. This match finished 1-0.

CA Estudiantes vs Godoy Cruz Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Match Preview & Prediction

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