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Sweden - Superettan logo Sweden flag Sweden - Superettan Regular Season - 10 Visma Arena· Vaxjo Saturday, May 30, 2026 15:00
Oster logo Oster PPG 1.75
2-1 MISS
Norrby logo Norrby PPG 1.00
Away· +37.9% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 31.8%
Odds: 2.05 EV: -34.8%
Draw 25.1%
Odds: 3.70 EV: -4.3%
Away 43.1%
Odds: 3.20 EV: +37.9%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 54.0% Odds: 1.67 -9.8%
Over 3.5 32.2% Odds: 2.65 -14.7%
BTTS 55.3% Odds: 1.55 -14.3%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 1-2
3rd 0-0
4th 0-1
5th 0-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Oster
1.19
Norrby
1.48

Model Suggestion

BTTS -14.3% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -14.3% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+37.9%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.75) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)

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