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Croatia - First NL logo Croatia flag Croatia - First NL Regular Season - 27 Stadion Hrvatski Vitezovi· Dugopolje Saturday, April 18, 2026 14:30
Dugopolje logo Dugopolje PPG 2.31
4-3 MISS
Dubrava Zagreb logo Dubrava Zagreb PPG 0.92
Home· +19.5% 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
98% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 78.1%
Odds: 1.53 EV: +19.5%
Draw 15.4%
Odds: 3.40 EV: -47.6%
Away 6.5%
Odds: 5.80 EV: -62.3%
Model lean: Home
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 53.1% Odds: —
Over 3.5 30.8% Odds: —
BTTS 35.6% Odds: 1.95 -30.6%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0
2nd 1-0
3rd 3-0
4th 2-1
5th 4-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Dugopolje
2.30
Dubrava Zagreb
0.50

Model Suggestion

Home +19.5% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.

Verdict & Form

🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
98%
STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.31), Away POOR (0.92) - Strong consensus

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