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Wiener Viktoria vs Oberwart Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - Ost

Ost - 33 ·Saturday, May 30, 2026, 15:00

Wiener Viktoria

PPG 1.47 · HOME

2 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Oberwart

PPG 1.36 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.4 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 64.1% vs bookmaker-implied 69.4%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.4%0-16.6%0-26.3%0-34.1%0-4+3.1%1 1-05.0%1-19.5%1-29.2%1-35.9%1-4+4.4%2 2-03.6%2-16.9%2-26.7%2-34.3%2-4+3.2%3 3-01.7%3-13.3%3-23.2%3-32.1%3-4+1.5%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-11.7%4+-21.6%4+-31.0%4+-4+0.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 30.0% 32.3% 3.10 -7.0%

Draw 23.5% 26.7% 3.75 -7.1%

Away win 46.6% 52.4% 1.91 -11.0%

Over 2.5 64.1% 69.4% 1.44 -7.7%

Over 3.5 40.5% 49.5% 2.02 -18.2%

BTTS 61.3% 73.0% 1.37 -16.0%

Home O1.5 42.5% 48.5% 2.06 -12.4%

Away O1.5 57.4% 62.1% 1.61 -7.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 52%

Score Hit 13%

ROI -8.5%

Bet Hit 64%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 49%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-2

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.9 BTTS prob61.3%

A 47% / xG 1.4-1.9 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.5%

#2 1–2 9.2%

#3 2–1 6.9%

#4 2–2✓ 6.7%

#5 0–2 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Wiener Viktoria1.4

Oberwart1.9

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.1% · O3.5 PROB 40.5%

Form & verdict PPG

WIENER VIKTORIA · PPG 1.47

OBERWART · PPG 1.36

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.47), Away AVERAGE (1.36)

Win probability 1X2

Wiener Viktoria (H) 30.0%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -7.0%

Draw 23.5%

ODDS 3.75 · IMPLIED 26.7% EV -7.1%

Oberwart (A) 46.6%

ODDS 1.91 · IMPLIED 52.4% EV -11.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Wiener Viktoria face Oberwart in Austria - Regionalliga - Ost on Saturday, May 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Wiener Viktoria a 30% chance, the draw 24% and Oberwart 47%, so Oberwart are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Wiener Viktoria and 1.9 for Oberwart (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Wiener Viktoria are averaging 1.47 points per game versus 1.36 for Oberwart. This match finished 2-2.

Wiener Viktoria vs Oberwart Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - Ost

Match Preview & Prediction

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