← Back to picks 
Croatia - First NL Saturday, April 18, 2026 14:30 
Cibalia PPG 2.00 
Karlovac PPG 0.92
Croatia - First NL Saturday, April 18, 2026 14:30 Cibalia PPG 2.002-1 HIT CS3
Karlovac PPG 0.92Home· +32.9% 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
98% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Home
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 67.0% Odds: — —
Over 3.5 45.3% Odds: — —
BTTS 49.5% Odds: 2.05 +1.5%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS NO → YES ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st 2-0 ✘
2nd 3-0 ✘
3rd 2-1 ✔
4th 1-0 ✘
5th 3-1 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Cibalia 2.69
Karlovac 0.76
Model Suggestion
Home +32.9% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.
Verdict & Form
🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
STRONG_HOME 98%
Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.00), Away POOR (0.92) - Strong consensus