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Cham vs Biel-Bienne Prediction— Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion

Regular Season - 34 ·Saturday, May 30, 2026, 14:00

Cham

PPG 1.63 · HOME

3 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Biel-Bienne

PPG 1.56 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.8 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 65.8% vs bookmaker-implied 72.5%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.2%0-14.7%0-25.0%0-33.6%0-4+3.1%1 1-03.7%1-17.9%1-28.4%1-36.0%1-4+5.2%2 2-03.1%2-16.7%2-27.1%2-35.0%2-4+4.4%3 3-01.8%3-13.7%3-24.0%3-32.8%3-4+2.5%4+ 4+-01.1%4+-12.3%4+-22.4%4+-31.7%4+-4+1.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 32.0% 29.9% 3.35 +7.2%

Draw 22.8% 25.0% 4.00 -5.3%

Away win 45.2% 55.6% 1.80 -18.6%

Over 2.5 65.8% 72.5% 1.38 -9.2%

Over 3.5 43.1% 51.3% 1.95 -16.0%

BTTS 63.4% 73.5% 1.36 -13.8%

Home O1.5 50.0% 47.6% 2.10 +5.0%

Away O1.5 62.8% 66.7% 1.50 -5.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 67 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 70%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 33%

ROI -3.6%

Bet Hit 69%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 59%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-2

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)2.1 BTTS prob63.4%

A 45% / xG 1.7-2.1 / O2.5 66% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 7.9%

#2 1–2 8.4%

#3 2–2 7.1%

#4 2–1 6.7%

#5 1–3 6.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Cham1.7

Biel-Bienne2.1

COMBINED 3.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.8% · O3.5 PROB 43.1%

Form & verdict PPG

CHAM · PPG 1.63

BIEL-BIENNE · PPG 1.56

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.63), Away GOOD (1.56)

Win probability 1X2

Cham (H) 32.0%

ODDS 3.35 · IMPLIED 29.9% EV +7.2%

Draw 22.8%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV -5.3%

Biel-Bienne (A) 45.2%

ODDS 1.80 · IMPLIED 55.6% EV -18.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Cham face Biel-Bienne in Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion on Saturday, May 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Cham a 32% chance, the draw 23% and Biel-Bienne 45%, so Biel-Bienne are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Cham and 2.1 for Biel-Bienne (3.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Cham are averaging 1.63 points per game versus 1.56 for Biel-Bienne. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +7.2%. This match finished 3-2.

Cham vs Biel-Bienne Prediction— Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion

Match Preview & Prediction

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