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Kreuzlingen vs Grand-Saconnex Prediction— Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion

Matchday 6 ·Saturday, September 5, 2026, 14:00

Kreuzlingen

PPG 1.58 · HOME

LAST 5

WLLDW

UPCOMING

Grand-Saconnex

PPG 1.24 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWLLL

// Model verdict

Over 2.5 74% chance

Combined xG of 3.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 66.8% vs bookmaker-implied 76.9%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.0%0-14.5%0-23.5%0-31.8%0-4+0.9%1 1-05.9%1-19.0%1-26.9%1-33.5%1-4+1.9%2 2-05.9%2-19.0%2-26.9%2-33.5%2-4+1.9%3 3-03.9%3-16.0%3-24.6%3-32.3%3-4+1.2%4+ 4+-03.1%4+-14.7%4+-23.6%4+-31.8%4+-4+1.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 50.1% 35.7% 2.80 +40.3%

Draw 21.2% 29.4% 3.40 -16.8%

Away win 28.8% 47.6% 2.10 -23.7%

Over 2.5 66.8% 76.9% 1.30 -13.2%

Over 3.5 44.9% 54.3% 1.84 -17.4%

BTTS 63.5% 75.2% 1.33 -15.5%

Home O1.5 55.8% 54.6% 1.83 +2.1%

Away O1.5 47.9% 63.7% 1.57 -24.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 99 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 49%

O2.5 72%

BTTS 65%

Score Hit 33%

ROI 9.3%

Bet Hit 75%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 57%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob63.5%

H 50% / xG 2.0-1.5 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 9.0%

#2 1–1 9.0%

#3 1–2 6.9%

#4 3–1 6.0%

#5 2–0 5.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kreuzlingen2.0

Grand-Saconnex1.5

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 66.8% · O3.5 PROB 44.9%

Form & verdict PPG

KREUZLINGEN · PPG 1.58

GRAND-SACONNEX · PPG 1.24

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

Chance this pick lands

74%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.46 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Kreuzlingen (H) 50.1%

ODDS 2.80 · IMPLIED 35.7% EV +40.3%

Draw 21.2%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -16.8%

Grand-Saconnex (A) 28.8%

ODDS 2.10 · IMPLIED 47.6% EV -23.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Kreuzlingen face Grand-Saconnex in Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion on Saturday, September 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kreuzlingen a 50% chance, the draw 21% and Grand-Saconnex 29%, so Kreuzlingen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Kreuzlingen and 1.5 for Grand-Saconnex (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kreuzlingen are averaging 1.58 points per game versus 1.24 for Grand-Saconnex. The best value bet our model finds is H/BTTS, with an expected value of +10.2%.

Kreuzlingen vs Grand-Saconnex Prediction— Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion

Match Preview & Prediction

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