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Norway - Eliteserien
Regular Season - 11
Aker Stadion· Molde
Saturday, May 30, 2026
14:00
Molde
PPG 2.40
2-1
HIT CS5
Sandefjord
PPG 1.20
Away· +5.8%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
52.4%
Odds: 1.60
EV: -16.2%
Draw
24.5%
Odds: 4.33
EV: +3.6%
Away
23.1%
Odds: 4.75
EV: +5.8%
Model lean:
Home
Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
46.6%
Odds: 1.55
-27.8%
Over 3.5
27.7%
Odds: 2.35
-20.9%
BTTS
47.2%
Odds: 1.57
-25.9%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘
BTTS NO → YES ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st
1-0
✘
2nd
1-1
✘
3rd
2-0
✘
4th
0-0
✘
5th
2-1
✔
Expected Goals (xG)
Molde
1.58
Sandefjord
0.73
Model Suggestion
Home
-16.2%
NO VALUE BET
No value bet:
model leans Home, but EV is -16.2% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV:
Away (+5.8%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.40) vs P(Home)=52.4%