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Norway - Eliteserien logo Norway flag Norway - Eliteserien Regular Season - 11 Aker Stadion· Molde Saturday, May 30, 2026 14:00
Molde logo Molde PPG 2.40
2-1 HIT CS5
Sandefjord logo Sandefjord PPG 1.20
Away· +5.8% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 52.4%
Odds: 1.60 EV: -16.2%
Draw 24.5%
Odds: 4.33 EV: +3.6%
Away 23.1%
Odds: 4.75 EV: +5.8%
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 46.6% Odds: 1.55 -27.8%
Over 3.5 27.7% Odds: 2.35 -20.9%
BTTS 47.2% Odds: 1.57 -25.9%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0
2nd 1-1
3rd 2-0
4th 0-0
5th 2-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Molde
1.58
Sandefjord
0.73

Model Suggestion

Home -16.2% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -16.2% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+5.8%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.40) vs P(Home)=52.4%

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