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Orijent vs Dugopolje Prediction— Croatia - First NL

Regular Season - 33 ·Saturday, May 30, 2026, 14:00

Orijent

PPG 1.27 · HOME

3 – 0

FULL TIME

Dugopolje

PPG 1.20 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-013.8%0-113.3%0-26.4%0-32.0%0-4+0.6%1 1-014.1%1-113.5%1-26.5%1-32.1%1-4+0.6%2 2-07.2%2-16.9%2-23.3%2-31.1%2-4+0.3%3 3-02.4%3-12.3%3-21.1%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-10.7%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 39.2% 48.8% 2.05 -19.6%

Draw 30.8% 34.5% 2.90 -10.7%

Away win 30.0% 30.3% 3.30 -1.0%

Over 2.5 43.2% 48.8% 2.05 -11.4%

Over 3.5 22.5% 28.6% 3.50 -12.8%

BTTS 47.2% 57.1% 1.75 -17.4%

Home O1.5 27.0% 45.7% 2.19 -24.5%

Away O1.5 25.0% 32.3% 3.10 -13.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%

O2.5 45%

BTTS 36%

Score Hit 38%

ROI -10.0%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 41%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-0

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob47.2%

D 31% / xG 1.0-1.0 / U2.5 43% / NoBTTS 47%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 13.8%

#2 1–1 13.5%

#3 1–0 14.1%

#4 0–1 13.3%

#5 2–0 7.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Orijent1.0

Dugopolje1.0

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 43.2% · O3.5 PROB 22.5%

Form & verdict PPG

ORIJENT · PPG 1.27

DUGOPOLJE · PPG 1.20

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.27), Away AVERAGE (1.20)

Win probability 1X2

Orijent (H) 39.2%

ODDS 2.05 · IMPLIED 48.8% EV -19.6%

Draw 30.8%

ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV -10.7%

Dugopolje (A) 30.0%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV -1.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Orijent face Dugopolje in Croatia - First NL on Saturday, May 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Orijent a 39% chance, the draw 31% and Dugopolje 30%, so Orijent are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Orijent and 1.0 for Dugopolje (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Orijent are averaging 1.27 points per game versus 1.20 for Dugopolje. This match finished 3-0.

Orijent vs Dugopolje Prediction— Croatia - First NL

Match Preview & Prediction

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