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Spain - Segunda División
Regular Season - 36
Ibercaja Estadio· Zaragoza
Saturday, April 18, 2026
14:15
Real Zaragoza
PPG 1.00
2-2
MISS
Ceuta
PPG 0.78
Away· +25.4%
✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity
70% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
46.7%
Odds: 1.69
EV: -21.1%
Draw
26.9%
Odds: 3.70
EV: -0.5%
Away
26.4%
Odds: 4.75
EV: +25.4%
Result: Draw ✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
43.0%
Odds: 1.83
-21.3%
Over 3.5
22.1%
Odds: 3.10
-31.5%
BTTS
47.5%
Odds: 1.75
-16.9%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘
BTTS NO → YES ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st
1-0
✘
2nd
1-1
✘
3rd
0-0
✘
4th
2-0
✘
5th
0-1
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Real Zaragoza
1.41
Ceuta
0.99
Model Suggestion
No Bet
NO VALUE BET
Model lean:
No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.
Verdict & Form
✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity
70%
BALANCED
Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away POOR (0.78)