Sweden - SuperettanRegular Season - 10NP3 Arena· SundsvallSaturday, May 30, 202613:00
GIF SundsvallPPG 1.20
0-3MISS
SandvikenPPG 0.25
Home· +12.7%⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
66% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home38.2%
Odds: 2.95EV: +12.7%
Draw27.4%
Odds: 3.35EV: -4.9%
Away34.3%
Odds: 2.30EV: -21.1%
Model lean: BTTSNot tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away
✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.547.2%Odds: 1.90-10.3%
Over 3.527.9%Odds: 3.30-4.8%
BTTS52.0%Odds: 1.67-13.2%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st1-1✘
2nd0-0✘
3rd0-1✘
4th1-0✘
5th1-2✘
Expected Goals (xG)
GIF Sundsvall
1.25
Sandviken
1.25
Model Suggestion
BTTS-13.2%NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -13.2% at these odds — not a recommended bet. Highest raw EV: Home (+12.7%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
66%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME
Home outperforming model: AVERAGE form (1.20) vs P(Home)=38.2%