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Sweden - Superettan logo Sweden flag Sweden - Superettan Regular Season - 10 NP3 Arena· Sundsvall Saturday, May 30, 2026 13:00
GIF Sundsvall logo GIF Sundsvall PPG 1.20
0-3 MISS
Sandviken logo Sandviken PPG 0.25
Home· +12.7% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
66% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 38.2%
Odds: 2.95 EV: +12.7%
Draw 27.4%
Odds: 3.35 EV: -4.9%
Away 34.3%
Odds: 2.30 EV: -21.1%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 47.2% Odds: 1.90 -10.3%
Over 3.5 27.9% Odds: 3.30 -4.8%
BTTS 52.0% Odds: 1.67 -13.2%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-0
3rd 0-1
4th 1-0
5th 1-2

Expected Goals (xG)

GIF Sundsvall
1.25
Sandviken
1.25

Model Suggestion

BTTS -13.2% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -13.2% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Home (+12.7%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
66%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: AVERAGE form (1.20) vs P(Home)=38.2%

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