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GIF Sundsvall vs Sandviken Prediction— Sweden - Superettan

Matchday 10 ·Saturday, May 30, 2026, 13:00

GIF Sundsvall

PPG 1.20 · HOME

LAST 5

LLDLW

0 – 3

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Sandviken

PPG 0.25 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWLDD

// Model verdict

BTTS 58% chance

Model probability 52.0% vs bookmaker-implied 59.9%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.2%0-110.3%0-26.4%0-32.7%0-4+1.1%1 1-010.2%1-112.8%1-28.0%1-33.4%1-4+1.4%2 2-06.4%2-18.0%2-25.0%2-32.1%2-4+0.9%3 3-02.7%3-13.3%3-22.1%3-30.9%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-01.1%4+-11.4%4+-20.9%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 38.2% 33.9% 2.95 +12.7%

Draw 27.4% 29.9% 3.35 -4.9%

Away win 34.3% 43.5% 2.30 -21.1%

Over 2.5 47.2% 52.6% 1.90 -10.3%

Over 3.5 27.9% 30.3% 3.30 -4.8%

BTTS 52.0% 59.9% 1.67 -13.2%

Home O1.5 35.5% 39.2% 2.55 -9.5%

Away O1.5 35.6% 45.5% 2.20 -21.7%

League track record ↗

Based on 107 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 45%

O2.5 52%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 44%

ROI -3.8%

Bet Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 18%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-3

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob52.0%

H 38% / xG 1.2-1.3 / O2.5 47% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.8%

#2 0–0 8.2%

#3 0–1 10.3%

#4 1–0 10.2%

#5 1–2 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

GIF Sundsvall1.2

Sandviken1.3

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 47.2% · O3.5 PROB 27.9%

Form & verdict PPG

GIF SUNDSVALL · PPG 1.20

SANDVIKEN · PPG 0.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned

Chance this pick lands

58%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: AVERAGE form (1.20) vs P(Home)=38.2%

Win probability 1X2

GIF Sundsvall (H) 38.2%

ODDS 2.95 · IMPLIED 33.9% EV +12.7%

Draw 27.4%

ODDS 3.35 · IMPLIED 29.9% EV -4.9%

Sandviken (A) 34.3%

ODDS 2.30 · IMPLIED 43.5% EV -21.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

GIF Sundsvall face Sandviken in Sweden - Superettan on Saturday, May 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives GIF Sundsvall a 38% chance, the draw 27% and Sandviken 34%, so GIF Sundsvall are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for GIF Sundsvall and 1.3 for Sandviken (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, GIF Sundsvall are averaging 1.20 points per game versus 0.25 for Sandviken. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +12.7%. This match finished 0-3.

GIF Sundsvall vs Sandviken Prediction— Sweden - Superettan

Match Preview & Prediction

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