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GAIS vs Kalmar Prediction— Sweden - Allsvenskan

Regular Season - 10 ·Saturday, May 30, 2026, 13:00

GAIS

PPG 1.60 · HOME

3 – 0

FULL TIME

Kalmar

PPG 0.00 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.9%0-18.7%0-23.5%0-30.9%0-4+0.2%1 1-015.4%1-112.4%1-25.0%1-31.3%1-4+0.3%2 2-010.9%2-18.7%2-23.5%2-30.9%2-4+0.2%3 3-05.1%3-14.1%3-21.7%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-02.5%4+-12.0%4+-20.8%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.3% 54.1% 1.85 -8.8%

Draw 27.4% 28.6% 3.50 -2.5%

Away win 23.3% 24.4% 4.10 -2.7%

Over 2.5 46.2% 52.4% 1.91 -11.8%

Over 3.5 27.7% 30.3% 3.30 -5.1%

BTTS 47.2% 57.8% 1.73 -18.3%

Home O1.5 41.3% 54.1% 1.85 -23.6%

Away O1.5 19.2% 31.3% 3.20 -23.1%

League track record ↗

Based on 44 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 73%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 39%

ROI 10.2%

Bet Hit 68%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 32%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-0

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob47.2%

H 49% / xG 1.4-0.8 / U2.5 46% / NoBTTS 47%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.4%

#2 1–0 15.4%

#3 0–0 10.9%

#4 2–0 10.9%

#5 2–1 8.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

GAIS1.4

Kalmar0.8

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.2% · O3.5 PROB 27.7%

Form & verdict PPG

GAIS · PPG 1.60

KALMAR · PPG 0.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

40%

NEUTRAL

No PPG data

Win probability 1X2

GAIS (H) 49.3%

ODDS 1.85 · IMPLIED 54.1% EV -8.8%

Draw 27.4%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -2.5%

Kalmar (A) 23.3%

ODDS 4.10 · IMPLIED 24.4% EV -2.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

GAIS face Kalmar in Sweden - Allsvenskan on Saturday, May 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives GAIS a 49% chance, the draw 27% and Kalmar 23%, so GAIS are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for GAIS and 0.8 for Kalmar (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, GAIS are averaging 1.60 points per game versus 0.00 for Kalmar. This match finished 3-0.

GAIS vs Kalmar Prediction— Sweden - Allsvenskan

Match Preview & Prediction

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