Hobro vs Middelfart Prediction & Tips

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Denmark - 1. Division Relegation Group - 32 DS Arena· Hobro Saturday, May 30, 2026 13:00

Hobro PPG 0.87

3-2 MISS

Middelfart PPG 0.53

Away· +44.8% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 53.7%

Odds: 1.37 EV: -26.4%

Draw 22.7%

Odds: 4.45 EV: +0.6%

Away 23.6%

Odds: 7.40 EV: +44.8%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 60.1% Odds: 1.55 -6.9%

Over 3.5 36.2% Odds: 2.35 -14.9%

BTTS 55.3% Odds: 1.70 -6.0%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-0 ✘

3rd 2-1 ✘

4th 1-0 ✘

5th 0-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Hobro

1.83

Middelfart

0.94

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 -6.9% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -6.9% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+44.8%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: POOR (0.87) > Away POOR (0.53)