Today / Denmark - 1. Division / B 93 vs Aarhus Fremad

B 93 vs Aarhus Fremad Prediction— Denmark - 1. Division

Relegation Group - 32 ·Saturday, May 30, 2026, 13:00

B 93 logo
B 93
PPG 0.93 · HOME
2 – 2
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS
Aarhus Fremad logo
Aarhus Fremad
PPG 1.13 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 61.0% vs bookmaker-implied 70.4%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.8%0-110.7%0-28.4%0-34.4%0-4+2.4%1 1-07.6%1-111.9%1-29.4%1-34.9%1-4+2.7%2 2-04.3%2-16.7%2-25.2%2-32.7%2-4+1.5%3 3-01.6%3-12.5%3-22.0%3-31.0%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-10.9%4+-20.7%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.2%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 31.8% 29.9% 3.35 +6.5%
Draw 25.1% 26.0% 3.85 -2.0%
Away win 43.1% 53.2% 1.88 -19.0%
Over 2.5 60.1% 67.6% 1.48 -11.1%
Over 3.5 36.2% 46.5% 2.15 -22.2%
BTTS 61.0% 70.4% 1.42 -13.4%
Home O1.5 30.8% 44.4% 2.25 -30.7%
Away O1.5 46.5% 61.7% 1.62 -24.7%

League track record

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%
O2.5 60%
BTTS 62%
Score Hit 33%
ROI -5.4%
Bet Hit 60%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 43%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 2-2
xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob61.0%

A 43% / xG 1.1-1.6 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.9%
#2 1–2 9.4%
#3 0–1 10.7%
#4 0–0 6.8%
#5 0–2 8.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

B 931.1
Aarhus Fremad1.6

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.1% · O3.5 PROB 36.2%

Form & verdict PPG

B 93 · PPG 0.93

AARHUS FREMAD · PPG 1.13

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.93), Away AVERAGE (1.13)

Win probability 1X2

B 93 (H) 31.8%
ODDS 3.35 · IMPLIED 29.9% EV +6.5%
Draw 25.1%
ODDS 3.85 · IMPLIED 26.0% EV -2.0%
Aarhus Fremad (A) 43.1%
ODDS 1.88 · IMPLIED 53.2% EV -19.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

B 93 face Aarhus Fremad in Denmark - 1. Division on Saturday, May 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives B 93 a 32% chance, the draw 25% and Aarhus Fremad 43%, so Aarhus Fremad are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for B 93 and 1.6 for Aarhus Fremad (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, B 93 are averaging 0.93 points per game versus 1.13 for Aarhus Fremad. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +6.5%. This match finished 2-2.

PredictVantage

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